March 24, 2006Environment > Global Warming: Proven Fact or Conventional WisdomRon Bailey has a a roundup of the latest research. Via Tim Blair,who also points to this Canadian research on the solar influence on global warming. Posted by lesjones | TrackBackComments
Mr. Bailey's headline (which you share) says it all. Global warming is a prediction. You don't prove predictions. By framing the debate as "Has global warming been proven?" you guarantee a "No" answer before the discussion even begins, with the added bonus of tempting potential opponents into an untenable "Yes" position. Looking at the issue through that frame is a cheat. To have an honest discussion, you have to focus on facts, not predictions. It's a fact that human activity is generating significant quantities of atmospheric pollutants. Ice core data shows that atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are higher now than they have been at any time during the past 600,000 years. There is no credible natural explanation for that fact, but you can foster doubt by shifting the frame so the discussion hinges on temperature. Presto! Instant uncertainty. Global warming is only one aspect of a much broader concern -- air pollution. Air pollution, broadly, includes imbalances in all sorts of gases and airborne particulates and impacts ranging from pulmonary disease to acidificiation of rain and streams and lakes to developmental disruptions to ecological disturbances to climate shifts. Impacts on human health and ecological health from air pollution are indisputable and offer adequate justification for regulating emissions, preferably by gradual, market-based means. Impacts on climate are disputable. They're a wild card. The skeptics could be correct, or a major volcanic eruption could nullify our best efforts to curb our emissions. Natural cycles could counteract pollution-induced climate trends. Even if the risks of climate change never materialize, our children will still face higher incidences of asthma, and corrosive rain will continue to fall on spruce forests at the highest elevations in the Smokies. Posted by: persimmon at March 24, 2006id ya see this Aspartame Does Not Raise Cancer Risk, Study Finds Gas Price Gouging Vote Passes As Bush Voices Opposition to Tax Cuts maybe now they will start to conserve Posted by: victor at May 03, 2006this is quite something... Palm Unveils Treo 700p Smartphone can't wait.... Posted by: wfw at May 25, 2006Teenage Boy Killed in California School Shooting this is pretty ridicoulous Posted by: acfsd at June 06, 2006LOOK HOW MUCH WAS IN THIS Report: $1.4 Billion Went to Fraudulent Aid for Katrina Victims Posted by: DENNIS at June 14, 2006More Rain on the Way for Flooded Houston Area, Southwest Louisiana this is quite something - Oh Boy Posted by: sdfwdr at June 21, 2006More Rain on the Way for Flooded Houston Area, Southwest Louisiana this is quite something - Oh Boy Posted by: sdfwdr at June 21, 2006Archaeologists Open Up Latest Egyptian Tomb what do you think they will find... Posted by: kellianne at June 28, 2006Suicide-by-Gas Eyed in NYC Building Explosion, Collapse pretty nutty crap Posted by: dimitri at July 12, 2006Mideast War Has Affected Pilgrimages of Those of Many Faiths this is something we should watch Posted by: gqg at July 27, 2006 |
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