April 21, 2004Healthcare Around the WorldTyler Cowen points to a study of healthcare in the U.S, Germany, and the UK in treating diabetes, cholelithiasis (gallstones), breast cancer, and lung cancer. The U.S. system was the best at treating patients for three of the four conditions, when measured in terms of quality of life and life expectancy after treatment.
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June 14, 2004The Future of EuropeTyler Cowen looks at economic hope and despair in Europe. 3. A recent survey in France suggests that 70 percent of French schoolchildren aspire to become bureaucrats rather than captains of industry. (See the IHT, June 9, "Divided We Graumble," by Roger Cohen, p.2.) So we can now prove empirically that communism doesn't work. History gave us controlled experiments. Two countries - Germany and Korea - were divided by war. One side was left communits, one side capitalist. Forty years later we saw the difference. South Korea produces cars, ships, computers and cell phones. North Korea can't even feed itself. East Germany turned into a poor, polluted nation that could barely crank out Trebants. West Germany became prosperous and produced Volkswagens, BMWs, and Mercedes. Europe has largely gone socialist - communism lite. It may take another forty years to fully see the results, but things don't look good. Birth rates are below replacement levels. A smaller and smaller population will have to pay for social programs to support an aging population. The militaries are is serious decline, as money is diverted to prop up social programs. Labor unions in some countries can call general strikes that shut down the economy. It's hard to imagine a European Union-era Europe competing with North America and Asia.
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January 25, 2005The Airbus A380, OR, Oh! The Humanity!![]() Frank Martin looks at the new Airbus A380, the double-decker, Texas-sized airliner from Europe. He thinks it will be technically interesting, but ultimately a commercial failure, and includes it in a list of goverment-backed debacles that includes the Dornier DO-X, Bristol Brabazon, Saunders Roe Princess, Concorde, and the Space Shuttle. ![]() To that list I'd add Cargolifter, an enormous dirigible largely funded by the German government with the goal of transporting cargo that couldn't be moved with winged aircraft. Cargolifter went bankrupt in 2002 before they had any commercial flights. Chris Range was telling me about them in the '90s. My reaction then was "a big German dirigible? What could possibly go wrong?"
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March 01, 2005"What is the European Union?"
"What is the European Union? It's a customs union. It protects itself from outsiders with walls of tariffs. It is in many ways very reactionary. Those who control everything, the Central European states France, Germany, Spain and Italy, are not the countries of the free market and have never been. Those are countries which have cetralised their economy very much. Their economy is in many ways incomplete with much rigidity in the labour market. They have a very complex and wide-ranging system of subsidies and grants. State interference in the economy is vast. And in many ways the European Union is driven by dreams of past greatness; dreams of keeping Europe as a superpower. The result of all this is that growth in the EU is rather small compared to America and Asia."
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March 02, 2005Gas Taxes Around the WorldHow far can you go with $20 worth of gas and a car that gets 35 miles per gallon? Germany: 127 miles Via Marginal Revolutions. In possibly-related news, Germany's unemployment rate hit a new record of 12.6%. More gas prices here. UPDATE: More bad economic news for Germany.
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March 07, 2005Europe, the Pacifist That Sells ArmsThomas Friedman in the NY Times: I am not part of the bash-China lobby. I believe that the U.S. needs to engage China, not isolate it, and work with it so that it takes its rightful place on the world stage. I believe China is largely a force for stability in Asia, not instability. But one reason for that is that the U.S. has countered any other impulses from Beijing by maintaining a stable balance of power among China, Korea, Japan and Taiwan - a balance that has helped the entire region prosper. The sale of advanced European weapons to China can only weaken that balance.
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March 14, 2005Europe: "I Love the '70s"From The EU Observer: The EU's current performance in terms of employment was achieved in the US in 1978 and it will take until 2023 for Europe to catch up, the report shows.
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March 15, 2005Dutch May Vote Against EU ConstitutionThe Netherlands, one of the founding members of the EU, may vote against the new EU constitution. Via The Corner. While international attention has been focused on the French referendum, just three days earlier on May 29, the Dutch are far more likely to slam on the brakes of the constitutional juggernaut. Polls in France still show a majority in favour of the constitution, but the Government in The Hague has been shocked to find that a majority of its citizens are opposed, and by no small margin.
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March 24, 2005Mark Steyn on European DemographicsHis latest. "The hyper-rationalism of post-Christian Europe turns out to be wholly irrational: what's the point of creating a secular utopia if it's only for one generation?"
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March 25, 2005EU Relaxes Rules on DeficitsFrom The Economist: Germany has breached the pact’s deficit criterion for three years running, and looks likely to do so again this year. Thanks in part to heavy lobbying by the German government, on Sunday Europe’s finance ministers agreed on revisions to the pact which render it effectively toothless. Hard-and-fast rules have been relaxed: now ministers are simply enjoined to keep deficits “close to the reference value”; and the criteria for determining when a country is in a severe economic downturn (in which case it is allowed to exceed the deficit limits) have been revised from the previous, strict standard—a 2% drop in GDP—to include any negative growth, or a protracted period of very low growth. This will probably be portrayed in some quarters as a sign of the failure of the EU to live up to its original intentions, but deficit financing is an important tool for any government, and the new policy is probably more realistic than the old one.
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April 12, 2005New Poll Finds French Turning Against EU ConstitutionA new survey finds a majority of French will vote no in a referendum to adopt the EU constitution. Successive opinion polls have bolstered the 'no' campaign - the latest, released last week, showed 55 per cent of the French public were opposed to the constitution, against 40 per cent a month ago - and the government and mainstream Socialists have redoubled their efforts to win over the electorate. They have resorted to gimmicks such as a tour of Casino supermarkets by astronaut-turned-minister Claudie Haigneré, visits by foreign politicians and explanatory meetings for homeless people. The French popular vote on the EU constitution is May 29. The Netherlands will have their referendum three days later. A March survey found Dutch opinion going against the EU constitution. That survey found a majority of the French still in favor of the EU constitution.
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April 15, 2005Mark Steyn's Prediction for European ImmigrationBy 2010, a smart energetic Chinaman or Indian will be able to write his own ticket anywhere he wants. How attractive will the prospect of moving to the European Union and supporting a population of geriatric ingrate Continentals be? Not just compared with working in America or Australia but with the economic opportunities in his own country?
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April 19, 2005Bruce Bawer's "Hating America"Bruce Bawer's Hating America. Bawer is an American who went to Europe assuming it was superior in every way to the US. Six years of living there has altered his viewpoint, and opened his eyes to persistent and illogical hatred of America. Here, he's discussing Jean-François Revel’s L’obsession anti-américaine, a primer on anti-Americanism in Europe. Item by item, Revel refutes the European media’s picture of America. Poverty? An American at the poverty level has about the same standard of living as the average citizen of Greece or Portugal. (Indeed, according to a recent study by the Swedish Trade Research Institute, Swedes have a slightly lower standard of living than black Americans—a devastating statistic for Scandinavians, for whom both the unparalleled success of their own welfare economies and the pitiable poverty of blacks in the racist U.S. are articles of faith.) I don't quote these dismal statistics on Europe for the sake of bashing Europe. I think it's terrible that so many Europeans are the victims of so many failed ideas - large-scale socialism, centrally-planned economies in general, de-population, pacifism, anti-Americanism, transnationalism. I cite the problems in Europe to argue that we shouldn't repeat their failed ideas unless we want to repeat their failures.
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April 20, 2005"The most audacious act of Gerrymanderying in history"The Belmont Club on the creation of the European Union: It was the most audacious act of Gerrymanderying in history. It provided the opportunity to sidestep the changing demographics in Western Europe by redefinition. Long after Frenchmen were a minority in France they could still belong to an ethnic European majority, providing Europe extended to the Dnieper. Instead of mending the hole in the hull, the problem could be ameloriated by making the ship bigger so that it would take longer to sink."
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Poll: One Third of Dutch Want to EmigrateFrom Expatica: AMSTERDAM — A survey has indicated that 32 percent of Dutch people want to emigrate abroad and that just 51 percent are proud of the Netherlands. The sample size was only 443 people, so I don't know how significant this is, but it's not a good sign for the Netherlands. Netherlands - with ultra-liberal laws on drugs, prostitution and euthenasia - has been an icon to American liberals, but their system appears more and more to be unsustainable. Like Mark Steyn said, "What's the point of creating a secular utopia if it's only for one generation?"
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April 22, 2005European Economies Not Doing Well Compared to USBruce Bawer in the NY Times, via VodkaPundit. All this was illuminated last year in a study by a Swedish research organization, Timbro, which compared the gross domestic products of the 15 European Union members (before the 2004 expansion) with those of the 50 American states and the District of Columbia. (Norway, not being a member of the union, was not included.) As always, thank goodness for Mississippi.
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May 03, 2005Sweden as a Bellwether for the Welfare StateJohan Norberg recounts Sweden's economic history and comes to this conclusion: In 1934 the two Swedish social democratic ideologues Gunnar and Alva Myrdal explained that there were extremely beneficial conditions for a welfare state in Sweden - considering our wealth, the homogenous population, the protestant work ethic and the good education. If the welfare state didn't work here, it couldn´t work anywhere in the world, they thought. The rest of the world should seriously ponder the fact that the Myrdals were right in that prediction.
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May 17, 2005How Many Hours of Work to Buy a TV?From one of the new stats at NationMaster. 1. Belgium 68 hours Other new stats: - Prisoners per capita - US is highest
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May 23, 2005European Countries to Exceed Kyoto's CO2 Emission StandardsVia Marginal Revolutions. Netherlands 10% over Not all the European countries are over their limits, but quite a few are, despite faltering economies. What's more, even if Kyoto was fully enacted it would only slow global warming, not stop it. And the ssumption underlying Kyoto is that global warming is ongoing, has net negative consequences, and is caused by CO2. (More assumptions here.) It's really hard to see how Kyoto can go on.
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May 30, 2005French Voters Reject EU ConstitutionInstaPundit has roundups here, here, and here.
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June 01, 2005Dutch Vote on EU ConsitutionHuge defeat for the EU constitution in the Netherlands.
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June 09, 2005Swiss Voters Approve Schengen and Dublin AgreementsFrom The Washington Times via Smoke My Gun, who notes that the EU's Firearms Directive could spell the end of Switzerland's long-standing tradition of firearms ownership.
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June 16, 2005"The End of Europe"Robert Samuelson's op-ed The End of Europe neatly sums up the major problems Europe faces: an aging population, deathbed birthrates, excess immigration, high unemployment, burdensome taxes, and unsustainable employment and retirement benefits. Via Insty.
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June 17, 2005Critique of Rifkin's "The European Dream"James Bennett reviews Jeremy Rifkin's The European Dream: How Europe's Vision of the Future is Quietly Eclipsing the American Dream. Rifkin's book is a strange duck. It initially seems to offer a conventional example of the second Europeanist position. And in fact, it does include the standard Euro-critiques of the American socio-economic approach: prisons, McJobs, consumerism and so on. As usual, these arguments are used to fill in the argumentative gaps created by the shortcomings of actual, existing Europe, as opposed to the theoretically ever-more-efficient Europe beloved of the Wall Street Journal and the Economist.
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June 28, 2005Imagine There's No Benefit Concert / It's Easy if You TryWith Live8 in the news, Colby Cosh points to the John Lennon Playboy interview and Lennon's thoughts on charity benefit concerts. PLAYBOY: Just to finish your favorite subject, what about the suggestion that the four of you put aside your personal feelings and regroup to give a mammoth concert for charity, some sort of giant benefit? Lennon isn't the only one who feels that way about the monetary output of benefit concerts. Bob Geldof says that Live8 is to raise awareness, not money, in a concession to the fact that Africa is a bottomless pit for aid money, and the original Live Aid money didn't do what it was supposed to. The only thing likely to help Africa now is radical new ideas like constitutional democracy, accountable government, and free market capitalism. Luckily, Geldof seems to realize that. Here's the clincher: Geldof wasn't asking for donations. He admits that food aid and even debt cancellation, while helpful, are of limited utility in the long run. Instead, he's asking us to start a converstation about how to stimulate long-term development in Sub-Saharan Africa. "This isn’t Live Aid 2," the website reads, "LIVE 8 is about justice not charity." And I had to love this: 12:33 - Todd Zwicki wants to know about the concept of "trade justice". Geldof: The EU is a protection racket that Al Capone would love. The trade cartels exist to protect domestic production ... If first-world countries - the US included - dropped agricultural subsidies for their own farmers, third-world farmers would be able to compete in first-world markets thanks to their lower labor costs. If poor countries can't even make money with agriculture it's hard to imagine how they'll ever bootstrap themselves into prosperity.
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July 12, 2005Green Party Losing Elections in GermanyYet a boom in wind and garbage may matter little in the face of a broad cultural shift. If Cologne University sociologist and Greens expert Markus Klein is right, Germany is in the grip of a "values rollback," away from the post-materialist values of the comfortable 1970s and '80s—including concern for the environment and minority rights—to a more conservative emphasis on achievement, responsibility, family, career and, to a small extent, even religion. Young Germans who grew up in the economically insecure 1990s, he says, worry about jobs and education, not the second-tier issues with which the Greens are identified. Already, says Klein, Green voters are concentrated in the 40-to-49 age bracket, while young voters are increasingly flocking to conservative and liberal-democratic parties. "The Greens are a one-generation project," says Klein. "Their core voters will just die out."
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July 14, 2005Mark Steyn on Europe's Attempts to Linger AwhileIt's behind the subscription wall now, but this Mark Steyn essay is fanstastic. You can read a copyright-infringing version here. When to the moment I shall say This next paragraph from Steyn dovetails with these comments regarding Jeremy Rifkin's The European Dream. Europeans and Americans have very different ideas about the relationship of the individual to society. But, having brandished his credentials, Hutton says that it’s his ‘affection for the best of America that makes me so angry that it has fallen so far from the standards it expects of itself’. Many Americans of Left and Right could write a book like that but, as things transpire, the great Euro-thinker is not arguing that America is betraying the Founding Fathers, but that the Founding Fathers themselves got it hopelessly wrong. This becomes explicit when he compares the American and French Revolutions, and decides the latter was better because instead of the radical individualism of the 13 colonies the French promoted ‘a new social contract’.
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July 18, 2005Go Read Jeff JarvisOn the London bombers and the myth of poor, deprived terrorists: When it turned out that the London bombings were carried out by four young Muslim men born in England, it seemed to give a lie to Tom Friedman's theory that Muslim terrorism sprouts from the anger of young men in Arab nations who have no hope of economic prosperity and freedom. And, via Insty, on the death of the more mindless form of European multi-culturalism: So where does all this end up in my mind? Tolerance is good and necessary and civilized. Multiculturism is good; I'm so multi-culti I don't know how mult-culti I am. But tolerance for criminals is always dangerous and wrong-headed. See the post below on the angry young men. We would not tolerate and understand and whisper about KKK killers or Nazis or serial killers. Why should we tiptoe tolerantly around the murderers of 7/7 or 9/11 or any day in Iraq today just because they are multi to our culti? We should not.
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July 20, 2005More on the Death of MulticulturalismIt is almost certain now that last week's attacks on the London underground were carried out by young British men of Pakistani background. British intelligence estimates that 10,000 to 15,000 Muslims living in Britain support al-Qaeda.
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August 09, 2005"Let's face facts, Europe's being run by cowards"Mathias Doepfner in The Australian: Where does this self-satisfied reaction come from? Does it arise because we are so moral? I fear that it stems from the fact that we Europeans are so materialistic, so devoid of a moral compass.
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August 31, 2005Germany's Economic TurnaroundMarginal Revolution points to a cover story in The Economist that confirms their predictions for a German economic turnaround. Thanks to the intense pressure that they have been under in the past few years, Germany's big companies have restructured and cut their bloated cost base. This process has for once been helped by the trade unions, which had been a stubborn obstacle to change. German workers have belatedly recognised that change has become essential, which is why they have been ready over the past year or so to accept such innovations as more decentralised pay bargaining, longer hours and even wage cuts. Thanks in part to this new flexibility, unit labour costs, a benchmark of competitiveness, have fallen sharply relative to other countries. In the past five years, Germany, long the most costly place in Europe in which to do business, has won a new competitive edge over France, Italy, the Netherlands and even Britain. That is a big reason why, last year, it regained its position as the world's biggest exporter.
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September 14, 2005Europe Learns the Wrong LessonsAnd the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development estimates that economic growth will slacken even further in the countries employing the Euro as currency. From an anemic growth rate of 1.3 percent per year between 2010 and 2020, OECD economists forecast a decline to under 1 percent annual growth during the decade following. Those little gray numbers are more than marks on paper—over time they will translate into notably pinched lives. Already, higher U.S. growth over the last generation has given average Americans a standard of living about 40 percent richer than average continental Europeans. Continue that a few more decades and we will no longer be peers, but two very different cultures. And this: Even in France, Nicolas Sarkozy—who could become France’s president within the next few years—recently encouraged his countrymen to be less dismissive of American and British alternatives. “Where do we get off looking down our noses at countries that have half the unemployment rate we do? Don’t we have an interest in looking for models elsewhere?” I have to call shenanigans on this part, though: Look upon the suicide clinic in Switzerland that administers a glass of schnapps and then a peaceful death by injection. Note the German laws that, first, legalized prostitution two years ago, and then started requiring laid-off waitresses and secretaries to entertain job offers from the sex industry or face the loss ofunemployment benefits. That was an urban legend, as I found out the hard way.
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September 21, 2005Mark Steyn on European Welfare and DemographicsThe latest Steyn: If you want the state of Europe in a nutshell, skip the German election coverage and consider this news item from the south of France: a fellow in Marseilles is being charged with fraud because he lived with the dead body of his mother for five years in order to continue receiving her pension of 700 euros a month. Read the whole thing. I also liked this: But the election results in Germany and elsewhere suggest that, in fact, nothing makes a citizen more selfish than lavish welfare and that once he's enjoying the fruits thereof he couldn't give a hoot about the broader societal interest. "Social democracy" turns out to be explicitly anti-social. Yep, and in my experience you can make a more general case that getting handouts makes people selfish, oddly enough. People who can't fend for themselves and depend on handouts are the most selfish and self-centered people you'll ever meet. Entitlement is terrible for the human spirit. April 05, 2006Highly Recommended Article on Europe's Economic FutureFrom Brussels Journal, Europe’s Ailing Social Model: Facts &Fairy-Tales looks at Europe's liabilities. Not just their official debt, but thei long-term liabilties of their social programs and pension system. Unfunded pension liabilities now average some 285% of GDP [pdf], more than 4 times the officially published public debt figures. Total public liabilities now exceed assets in most EU countries, and are causing runaway debt service. Richard Disney calculates [pdf] that if social policies are kept unchanged, tax hikes of as much as 5 to 15 percentage points will be necessary over the next couple of decades merely to avoid the rate of indebtedness increasing any further. and this, on inflated European taxes: Gwartney’s findings provide the final explanation why continental European economies, such as Belgium, no longer grow. The Belgian tax burden is 20% above the optimal tax level burden as calculated by Primo Pevcin [pdf]. It is 9 %-points above the OECD average and 15 %-points higher than the tax level in the US and Japan. The author suggests that European countires adopt the highly successful Irish approach of not just low taxes, but low taxes that are spread evenly between production, labor, and consumption. July 20, 2006Sweden's Suicide Note?Fjordman at Gates of Vienna says he has confirmed from independent sources that Jens Orback, Democracy Minister (!) in the Swedish government, said during a radio debate: “We must be open and tolerant towards Islam and Muslims because when we become a minority, they will be so towards us.” August 31, 2006Record German EmigrationFrom Bloomberg via Instapundit: Koerber is one of 145,000 Germans who fled the fatherland last year amid record postwar unemployment, pushing emigration to its highest level since 1954, Federal Statistics Office figures show. Last year was also the first since the late 1960s that emigrants outnumbered Germans returning home from living abroad, the statistics office said. Germany has one of the world's lowest birthrates, ranking 223rd out of 225 countries. Adding emigration on top of that is going to devestate their culture and the tax base needed to sustain their social programs. December 03, 2007Germany's Church TaxIn Germany, you're sorted into Catholic or Protestant (Lutheran), depending on the professed faith of your parents (who are either Catholic or Lutheran depending on the faith of their parents, and so on.) The state takes "church tax" out of your paycheck, which goes to the church of your denomination directly. You can opt out of church tax by leaving the church altogether, but that requires some paperwork and an official declaration, so it's a bit of a hassle. IDNNKT. According to Wikipedia,"Church tax is a tax imposed on members of some religious congregations in Germany, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Austria and some parts of Switzerland." P.S. - Marko and his family are on their way to the new home in the Live Free or Die state. Marko, we hardly knew ye. December 07, 2007European Vacation BenefitsEuropeans get quite a bit more vacation time than Americans. I never considered that might be because of the effects of taxation. Via The Corner: The problem, employers and economists believe, has a lot to do with the 63 percent marginal tax rate paid by top earners in Denmark - a level that hits anyone making more than 360,000 Danish kroner, or about $70,000... So if you're a Dane making the $70,000 figure, a 5% raise would be $3,500, but after taxes you'd only realize an extra $1,295, which amounts to a 1.8% raise. With that pitiful amount for a raise extra vacation time is much more attractive. Wikipedia's vacation entry lists minimum vacation times for countries around the world. As a BTW, I'd prefer mandatory minimum personal days (to be used as sick days or vacation days at the worker's discretion) to a minimum wage. Unlike a Federal minimum wage, personal days are automatically indexed to the local economy and the worker's labor value. I view personal days the way I view lunch breaks - as something necessary to a healthy and sustainable work environment. If you can't take a day off when you're sick you're less likely to be healthy and more likely to fall behind financially. I say that as someone who never had a job with vacation benefits until I was in my late twenties. Having paid sick days and a little discretionary time off made a huge difference in my outlook on life and work. Ten or so personal days a year would probably be about right as a minimum. According to the Wikipedia link 25% of U.S. workers receive no vacation days at all. The average number of vacation days for all U.S. workers is only 10, so that would bump up our numbers quite a bit considering all of the people who have more vacation days and sick days that that. |
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Ragnar Arnason, economics professor at the University of Iceland,