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Climategate’s Phil Jones publicly admits: No statistically significant warming for past 15 years
Sunday, February 14th, 2010 | Environment | Permalink | 3 Comments |
Link. I say publicly because he admitted it privately in emails that were exposed during Climategate.
And from Ann Althouse:
To talk about “sceptics” as the ones who will “seize” upon “evidence” of flaws is unwittingly to make global warming into a matter of religion and not science. It’s not the skeptics who look bad. “Seize” sounds willful, but science should motivate us to grab at evidence. It’s the nonskeptics who look bad. It’s not science to be a true believer who wants to ignore new evidence. It’s not science to support a man who has the job of being a scientist but doesn’t adhere to the methods of science.
There were a lot of scientific know-it-alls who assured us that global warming science was beyond all doubt. The backtracking is going to be ugly.
Shannon Love on Problems with Peer-reviewed Science
Sunday, February 7th, 2010 | Science | Permalink | 3 Comments |
ChicagoBoyz - Scientific Peer-Review is a Lightweight Process:
By the way that proponents of Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW) wave it about as a talisman to ward off criticism, a lay person could be excused for thinking that peer review is a rigorous process that is central to the functioning of science and that verifies the conclusions of a scientist’s research.
Peer review is nothing like that.
Peer review isn’t even central to science. Science functioned fine for centuries without peer review and scientists who work in secret or proprietary environments do not use it. Instead, peer review serves economic and social functions related to scientific publishing and does nothing else. Peer review somewhat protects the integrity of scientific media, not the quality of science itself.
Read the whole thing.
Climategate - the Timeline
Tuesday, December 29th, 2009 | Environment | Permalink | 3 Comments |
That’s one gem from this amazing, extensively-footnoted PDF.
The more you see of the data that was supposed to document warming the more pathetic it looks.
EDIT: Did I say “pathetic”? I apologize. I meant to say “fraudulent.”
Via Insty.
Disappearing the Medieval Warm Period in Wikipedia
Sunday, December 20th, 2009 | Environment | Permalink | 4 Comments |
“If a consensus of the majority is all it takes to determine what is right, then having and controlling information becomes extraordinarily important.”
– Masamune Shirow
Financial Post - Wikipedia’s climate doctor:
All told, (U.K. scientist and Green Party activist William) Connolley created or rewrote 5,428 unique Wikipedia articles. His control over Wikipedia was greater still, however, through the role he obtained at Wikipedia as a website administrator, which allowed him to act with virtual impunity. When Connolley didn’t like the subject of a certain article, he removed it — more than 500 articles of various descriptions disappeared at his hand. When he disapproved of the arguments that others were making, he often had them barred — over 2,000 Wikipedia contributors who ran afoul of him found themselves blocked from making further contributions. Acolytes whose writing conformed to Connolley’s global warming views, in contrast, were rewarded with Wikipedia’s blessings. In these ways, Connolley turned Wikipedia into the missionary wing of the global warming movement.
The Medieval Warm Period disappeared, as did criticism of the global warming orthodoxy. With the release of the Climategate Emails, the disappearing trick has been exposed. The glorious Medieval Warm Period will remain in the history books, perhaps with an asterisk to describe how a band of zealots once tried to make it disappear.
This isn’t a criticism of Wikipedia, by the way. The same thing can happen elsewhere. If anything Wikipedia makes it possible to track the numbers you see above for silenced contributors and deleted articles. This does, however, point to the need for Wikipedia to make their editorial process less vulnerable to a rogue censor.
Send that climate data to the Siberian gulag
Wednesday, December 16th, 2009 | Environment | Permalink | No Comments |
WattsUpWithThat - Russian IEA claims CRU tampered with climate data – cherrypicked warmest stations:
Climategate has already affected Russia. On Tuesday, the Moscow-based Institute of Economic Analysis (IEA) issued a report claiming that the Hadley Center for Climate Change based at the headquarters of the British Meteorological Office in Exeter (Devon, England) had probably tampered with Russian-climate data.
The IEA believes that Russian meteorological-station data did not substantiate the anthropogenic global-warming theory. Analysts say Russian meteorological stations cover most of the country’s territory, and that the Hadley Center had used data submitted by only 25% of such stations in its reports.
Over 40% of Russian territory was not included in global-temperature calculations for some other reasons, rather than the lack of meteorological stations and observations. The data of stations located in areas not listed in the Hadley Climate Research Unit Temperature UK (HadCRUT) survey often does not show any substantial warming in the late 20th century and the early 21st century.
Via Instapundit.
Previously - Vee haf vayz of making zee climate data talk, yah?
Vee haf vayz of making zee climate data talk, yah?
Wednesday, December 16th, 2009 | Environment | Permalink | No Comments |
Pajamas Media - Climategate: Something’s Rotten in Denmark … and East Anglia, Asheville, and New York City:
In this story, see how Central Park data was manipulated in inconsistent ways. The original U.S. Historical Climate Network (USHCN) data showed a cooling to adjust for urban heat island effect — but the global version of Central Park (NOAA GHCN again) inexplicably warmed Central Park by 4F. The difference between the two U.S. adjusted and global adjusted databases, both produced by NOAA NCDC, reached an unbelievable 11F for Julys and 7F annually! Gradually and without notice, NOAA began slowly backing off the urban heat island adjustment in the USHCN data in 1999 and eliminated it entirely in 2007.
“Gentlemen! You can’t debate climate science in here! This is the Climate Science Room.”
Previously - Torturing Australia’s climate data
Tales from the Climategate File
Tuesday, December 15th, 2009 | Environment | Permalink | 2 Comments |
IPCC hid the decline by hiding part of their graph:
Steve Schnieder claims the IPCC didn’t use the now-discredited hockey stick as part of the evidence for the IPCC report. Roger Pielke corrects him.
Inconvenient truth for Al Gore as his North Pole sums don’t add up.
CRU disappears years worth of data from their Web site.
DOE tells employees to preserve CRU documents. DOE funded Phil Jones for 25 years.
The IPCC’s Dr Rajendra Pachauri sits on the board of a company that trades carbon credits. No conflict of interest there.
Environmental reporter Andy Revkin is leaving the New York Times. Revkin was a Climategate/CRU apologist. The Climategate emails show that the CRU crew was very friendly with him.
Torturing data from Antarctica:
In the meantime, the BAS maintains an up to date, value added dataset of their own. Using 63 stations and simple area weighted averaging we get antarctic trends of 0.05 C/decade…
Currently the ‘homogenized’ value added version of GHCN has a trend that is EIGHT times higher than actual for the ENTIRE ANTARCTIC CONTINENT.
Global warming and information cascades.
Previously - Torturing (I mean “homogenizing”) Nashville’s climate data
Torturing (I mean “homogenizing”) Nashville’s climate data
Sunday, December 13th, 2009 | Environment | Permalink | 1 Comment |
WattsUpWithThat - Would You Like Your Temperature Data Homogenized, or Pasteurized?
So what would appear to be a general cooling trend over the past ~130 years at this location when using the unadjusted HadCRUT3 data, becomes a warming trend when the homogeneity adjustment is supplied.
“There is nothing to see here, move along.” I do not buy that. Whether or not the homogeneity adjustment is warranted, it has an effect that calls into question just how much the earth has in fact warmed over the past 120-150 years (the period covered, roughly, by GISTemp and HadCRUT3). There has to be a better, more “robust” way of measuring temperature trends, that is not so sensitive that it turns negative trends into positive trends (which we’ve seen it do twice how, first with Darwin Zero, and now here with Nashville). I believe there is.
Previously - If you torture climate data it tells you whatever you want
All the news that’s fit to not upset aging baby boomers
Saturday, December 12th, 2009 | Media Behaving Badly | Permalink | 2 Comments |
Edgelings - An Obituary for Obituaries:
Newspapers too, seem to have figured out a way to limp along at least for another couple decades (at which point there will be no one left in the country who has actually read a newspaper) by slashing overhead, building marginally profitable web sites, and morphing their product to fit their remaining audiences.
What I mean by the last is that newspapers (and even more obviously, troubled national newsmagazines like Newsweek) have essentially abandoned the news business and gone into the comfort business. In other words, they have a pretty good idea now just who constitutes the heart of their loyal readership, and they write for that group, with the intent of either delivering news that fits their world view or sanitizing bad news that does not. And, since there is no way that they can deliver that information in a timely way – they assume that their readers have already learned from the Web about important events – now it is the paper’s job to reduce any discomfort or cognitive dissonance by contextualize the story into the tribe’s existing prejudices and self-image.
If you torture climate data it tells you whatever you want
Friday, December 11th, 2009 | Environment | Permalink | No Comments |
WattsUpWithThat - The Smoking Gun At Darwin Zero:
YIKES! Before getting homogenized, temperatures in Darwin were falling at 0.7 Celcius per century … but after the homogenization, they were warming at 1.2 Celcius per century. And the adjustment that they made was over two degrees per century … when those guys “adjust”, they don’t mess around. And the adjustment is an odd shape, with the adjustment first going stepwise, then climbing roughly to stop at 2.4C.
Follow the global warming money
Tuesday, December 1st, 2009 | Environment | Permalink | 1 Comment |
WattsUpWithThat - Quote of the week – Krugman’s LOL on skeptics:
Noel Sheppard writes:
Skeptics get almost equal time in the media? Yeah, that’s why this appears to be the first time ABC addressed this ClimateGate issue.
As for there being more money in being a skeptic than there is in supporting this myth, the facts say otherwise.
The Science and Public Policy Institute issued a report on the money involved in funding the global warming debate in August concluding, “Over the last two decades, US taxpayers have subsidized the American climate change industry to the tune of $79 billion.”
By contrast, the same study found that the media bogeyman “Exxon Mobil gave a mere $23 million, spread over ten years, to climate sceptics.”
Climategate: Phil Jones admits post-1998 cooling trend
Monday, November 30th, 2009 | Environment | Permalink | 2 Comments |
From: Phil Jones
To: John Christy
Subject: This and that
Date: Tue Jul 5 15:51:55 2005The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998. OK it has but it is only 7 years of data and it isn’t statistically significant.
That was in 2005. The cooling trend has continued through 2008 and I have no doubt when 2009 is over it will go down as unusually cold. Which would be 11 years.
So even the leader of the anthropogenic global warming cabal admits the planet has been cooling since 1998. Or at least he admits it when there are no reporters around.
Jonathan Adler on science and public policy
Sunday, November 29th, 2009 | Environment, Political Survival Kit, Quotes, Science | Permalink | No Comments |
Jonathan Adler - “‘We’re the Experts, Trust Us,’ Has Clearly Gone by the Wayside”:
The effort to compile an “official” scientific “consensus” into a single document, approved by governments, has exacerbated the pressures to politicize policy-relevant science. So too has been the tendency to pretend as if resolving the scientific questions will resolve policy disputes. This is a dangerous pretense. Science can — indeed must — inform policy judgments, but it does not determine such judgments. It can tell us what is, and perhaps what will be, but it cannot tell us what should be. A more honest climate policy debate would acknowledge that there are uncertainties, acknowledge that there are risks of action and inaction alike, and focus on the relative merits of different ways to address the real, albeit necessarily uncerain, risks of climate change.
Previously
CimateGate: 2006 WSJ story on Michael Mann’s clique
Thursday, November 26th, 2009 | Environment | Permalink | No Comments |
Wall Street Journal - Hockey Stick Hokum:
In addition to debunking the hockey stick, Mr. Wegman goes a step further in his report, attempting to answer why Mr. Mann’s mistakes were not exposed by his fellow climatologists. Instead, it fell to two outsiders, Messrs. McIntyre and McKitrick, to uncover the errors.
Mr. Wegman brings to bear a technique called social-network analysis to examine the community of climate researchers. His conclusion is that the coterie of most frequently published climatologists is so insular and close-knit that no effective independent review of the work of Mr. Mann is likely. “As analyzed in our social network,” Mr. Wegman writes, “there is a tightly knit group of individuals who passionately believe in their thesis.” He continues: “However, our perception is that this group has a self-reinforcing feedback mechanism and, moreover, the work has been sufficiently politicized that they can hardly reassess their public positions without losing credibility.”
In other words, climate research often more closely resembles a mutual-admiration society than a competitive and open-minded search for scientific knowledge. And Mr. Wegman’s social-network graphs suggest that Mr. Mann himself — and his hockey stick — is at the center of that network.
BBC had ClimateGate files for a month, didn’t publish them (UPDATED)
Wednesday, November 25th, 2009 | Environment, Media Behaving Badly | Permalink | 1 Comment |
Ace of Spades - Of Course: ClimateGate File Was Leaked to BBC In October… And Of Course They Failed to Report Their Scoop.
The question now is why the files weren’t published. Did the reporter who received the files sit on the story, or did his bosses at the BBC quash it? The reporter had recently written a piece questioning global warming, which has stalled out for more than a decade, so it seems like something he would publish if it were up to him.
More from Ace: Chronology of ClimateGate emails and Freedom of Information requests.
UPDATE: This may be a misunderstanding. The reporter says he received some of the emails in October as a response to his article, not that he received the entire archive. He mentioned that he had received them only to confirm that those emails at least were authentic. That seems to make this post moot.
“Hide the Decline” - the soundtrack for Climategate
Wednesday, November 25th, 2009 | Environment | Permalink | No Comments |
A good ClimateGate piece here.
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